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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，4 G/ @& k6 V. ?3 {8 i* {: K
0 }& C5 F0 L8 H- F6 I( x* C" I$ I比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？6 B+ Q3 \) ?/ n7 N" N+ }. r
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
; x! f7 Q2 ~4 X' D2 Y5 U5 c5 o7 B2 Q Y" J5 Q3 J; Z0 {- w7 ~
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过1 e: A/ H9 L7 r( i+ _) G3 u
( }. C, A; H' e u3 p- U中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全, d. }. Z; f2 k
: @" Z: d: B( {% q去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长) n# p) L$ G+ n Y% A2 ]: I
2 l0 A3 H A; Q5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 6 [2 r( x, [3 M4 T2 }9 v) J
$ ~# l/ d9 l- }& |& |Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和( U" S1 v, y* u
( c. H5 C% u! d9 _! | lETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
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3 ~) v/ t$ } u美金）。3 Y6 e$ E, K3 F" t
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2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态% P# O- G# c" U: j2 t6 m& F- Y% K8 R
, }9 E& a2 j: r5 Y
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
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构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。! O3 d+ t5 T }! t$ J. i9 i
. g# ~7 G2 @$ J3 L }! S4 v% B3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
3 {: T9 o W3 N: \' I/ U2 r- n1 Q' Y4 f- b* Z
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL! H) Z/ l: K+ z# u' |0 z
) ~- l4 z! L. n4 ]* S
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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$ K9 _4 J1 y% [( C5 S果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美& C' O: e2 H# @0 @' G0 _3 a
5 I d- }) d l: T9 o
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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4 t) ^( o, O# Q2 Y; r( X7 ^/ T5 j7 x+ n" {
) T" k% V. z0 w! ]0 M( ? |
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