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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，. {: G) m* l4 i0 t* ~6 ?- J
: j, p% S& O# z. O0 u( _# {7 h
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？# F, u6 [' h- a0 a+ c
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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3 X" Z+ E% {. s M" r1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
1 A+ } Q1 k% o6 c/ c: O- Q! \$ A, \3 ~/ x
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
1 i0 U9 H4 r5 ~" C+ c3 A2 ]" C# M* X) h, I0 H
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长% J p O/ H% I: u. v5 j5 e2 i) X
2 s; o/ i. H6 ~2 R" \8 A5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH ' [, w4 H0 B7 s
- i! g, e& s4 U! y lLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
$ P! H7 U7 F; Y
' u U/ X+ }) _, x$ YETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿% F0 Q& ^/ m0 N4 w; a, p4 y4 T
6 H4 N5 A4 w6 g, d0 x( x- O" j9 }美金）。$ ^5 v1 e% W; S, \
; n% Z3 E4 X% B4 q7 _3 f
H) D! j3 s4 Q! E! l* {2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态- J# B" R! W7 I. w# E& F; v9 c8 R
; d2 c; l/ o, b. r' O {! q比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去9 u; ~* C1 G1 J. ~6 @2 G3 z
0 T$ d1 f) n& j3 v }' w$ ^构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
4 z9 I! J5 e: S2 K1 P" X) l% G% h. O' c* ]) D; _4 O* H, f1 R
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
9 y6 l. @; z" H8 m5 ?) `8 n
5 I1 g& B: y) t" I# ~& ~6 s9 e H, c$ A尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
) l. b- m$ b' n6 |+ D+ z- P' R6 p+ y$ h9 T" w
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
# h; z" ]1 @1 z' E5 K7 X% v
( r- p; P: R6 B6 y2 m3 a3 {% s0 ~果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
3 S: Q# l d4 r
0 G. @! V) j9 {; t- @6 T金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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4 {3 J1 C( F1 w C; e6 b9 y# W; e) Y/ c9 |, U
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