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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，( V* j% W9 b0 G1 U1 \$ V0 V
4 j* O4 N; h, r% }9 Z比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
4 f4 f- ?* | Q, n1 k* w! _我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
% w0 k" j% U& x& O
Y$ ?/ Z/ g: \9 o+ {% w1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在# v, i1 J2 C' k# E: H
0 S9 N& P& m7 a5 w- b( t没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过( o5 X$ m- a; c/ i& j6 }, q
- Y: N" V$ N; _) L
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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4 E. x' b! r+ {4 S去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长, O. L( L7 c- a
2 [' q0 L6 [4 k8 H& r5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
# R o$ b' I; o' b8 |; v" d9 M. @* h% a ^& M
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和$ q0 I) `( C! q& h6 ?
* a# i0 z8 |1 S% O! D# C Q$ xETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
# @- m9 ?) ?2 [+ w1 W% v8 f
0 ^ P# Y6 A$ N3 J. x8 O8 b$ t美金）。
! Q2 X2 V: L* L; |' S. z# X/ y- Z
# W3 K4 _, `) n5 e2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
2 k) D# z% S# [3 ^! w, W( y! w3 ?/ s! \5 V
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去" W& u- a0 l4 I* T; i% m B$ R6 j4 I9 h
0 ^- |) [2 g; L/ r X/ A5 n1 g构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。, C- N0 ^: _( w* s
3 A& s8 h s! O$ g3 w
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
2 R/ G6 [) X, Y5 [! f9 h* Z
2 U. I( |( ^ Y J" L. A0 r尤其大资金的信任和青睐。* s o: x+ E$ P
8 l& k& b8 _* S3 p$ L" H
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
- g+ h% Q( y$ D2 u1 u5 W
! u; x# W: d5 B约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如) L7 i. _& w4 ^' J8 {5 a8 N: }
% e0 x% X- k2 t+ [! w
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
4 M* x5 V7 t) U q3 b' I/ J" P% d" U" G2 [4 S; c/ U" a" l
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
( t# Z/ c8 b( A4 q+ y, w# Y
" {* G: y {9 |6 J! x$ y6 a) c8 W7 c9 F2 S { L. E, j1 v0 d4 Z' C
9 F0 q1 C1 a, x
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