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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份: l# W% X& g6 j& F
2 L. p" H( ^4 M6 M6 L6 S! O报告中特别强调了这一论断。
$ ^1 f9 m0 C% R+ }美元抛售推高比特币 q. w' t" B; G8 ~* c1 C
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。7 P4 l, R. D/ s) Q# W' \* ^$ X
( Q( [5 B8 p o- D3 a% b6 Y. P! j“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”7 d9 e1 \1 h1 L8 G0 X) i, F
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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3 f Y4 H. }. L, K% v0 t4 k" e数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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+ b, T6 ]9 }' H) N \$ _9 l tAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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$ z3 n2 M8 X% k# k! t高黄金和比特币的价格。
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$ a7 d: \) h& ?- P5 ?下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化1 ]. n8 a; b$ y' j" ^
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
$ {' f1 i, H! S$ M4 _* b2 o: O: s
这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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, y+ J; M' c7 u. x& y9 a6 W7 Q了8.7万美元。' E# ^; c3 Y# I" z* u
4 ]7 e* K; Y( N3 A! ?然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”9 Q% p4 K6 i: w3 [9 t$ \0 ^
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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p: o, N. c: T) V" BCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交; r1 T, f& \6 L0 {9 x3 r
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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