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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位# L" ]/ ~  P; x0 F& v6 C9 l

5 k( O8 H# y! a$ j(1)对下游球队的战绩。- C- W/ y% }  G" q
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(2)对中游球队的战绩。& h, s7 d$ N" ?" U, o

# x. y  O5 o$ H9 K5 r7 D+ k(3)对上游球队的战绩。
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(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录
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6 M8 H2 _1 m' F4 v5 t+ G一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。
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1 w3 |; a( U; a5 S, T( Y/ m1 ]2、对比主客场胜率
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( V9 q& E3 ?1 X" Q$ c6 s) c(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高
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(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高7 p: {( ?+ i$ n2 t

% T1 H4 ^7 ]: i* H. }: ~+ c' j3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照
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* ]( ~* J5 a0 Y0 g! |) `(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。, f- n6 p# d; @. i9 R9 W

9 B8 e3 X* j$ b6 ](2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)3 G  U* T* ]' D4 t) i
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(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大
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# ?' l) J. J. \- Z# G/ [(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大4 I/ e* N9 \3 Z1 s5 E1 M

6 D* v! n. l( B4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。
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# W! N( w3 m! h- [4 M(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易
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: V  Y0 f9 \; O; G8 u; ^4 G成为热点。
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& J; O9 x' L9 J(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。
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: `5 _0 r# V  t6 R(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。8 L* r& J& \8 O4 J' W8 _3 R# x
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(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。9 {3 L8 _/ X- Q% @
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(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。
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5、确定受热方向$ ?" L. ~7 ^! k; e5 d

! C0 E& h( o/ r4 Z根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:
4 }3 k, y0 ]) ?& c7 [$ Q2 H: k) B; v9 H3 O, G% d# {
(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金
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+ X. j+ m( k9 I& {2 c6 f流入。 2 X) L8 i9 c8 b% ?9 ]- ^( c
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(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。% L( J7 {8 ~- z  D' n% W- [. ?; e! G

1 N1 F+ t$ c( o(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做
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冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。
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% k8 o! Y- d4 X2 L2 K" g" ](4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上
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) M$ w. u/ }3 y# t: s盘出。   i) f0 _& ]. q0 |5 X
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(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。
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$ b# K4 t$ M. r% Y1 G3 Q5 b(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。2 d: w( e/ m3 z% p0 E& q% N3 t
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盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。9 @9 v; t" ]5 G; V% I% x, j

0 {, _, H+ U% G9 Y6 }; ~6 @盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。! U- e. m2 u, u- ?% o6 `& I
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(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。" O4 |3 z4 b' G; c5 ~& ^
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6、最后检验阶段$ }4 Z8 T! U9 B# G. U

) u; B5 {7 t& x, _以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:9 z. z4 Z/ c: Q: M
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(1)检查高峰期水位。
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(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。
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5 O/ Y8 V) ?: B3 x(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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