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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位
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(1)对下游球队的战绩。4 {8 p4 ?0 y" H$ e
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(2)对中游球队的战绩。* x7 z4 _, ^0 A% x& K- `% i

4 B; y1 y" e# F$ w- \: ?(3)对上游球队的战绩。& t& y* R9 ^" S8 w

6 V1 U( A$ F$ {! T(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录
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1 I2 j" M2 w" p4 A  B1 z7 y% u一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。
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2、对比主客场胜率7 d7 k5 X4 D4 f- n& J; W

7 A. L. x2 _0 F  w6 k(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高, M1 I; l' p8 R; X' n

/ l' a, R0 z+ ~* N% Y4 W(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高$ ~7 N9 E+ H. O& a5 l. T

. `! ^, ?( J' Q1 V" O7 K6 y3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照
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(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。
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(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)* h5 X  T- [* _$ b0 f! D9 ^3 c) a! S

, M: Y8 _2 I1 N3 W" A2 g(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大
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(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大
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4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。
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% K" ^( E; r9 y) @1 E  F(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易
7 c4 f; {% r( v. [7 Y0 H: k: h4 b. f& D6 X/ r+ ~: \! i5 H9 A
成为热点。  T: L$ w5 a3 N% V; c$ e' a

0 ]& v- H+ ]% U# m  W" Z(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。
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(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。
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(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。" u# |9 |! \/ a% d4 C. p5 U

" F' G& K+ }% r( I(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。
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; m. ]5 O7 m1 S, Q' O1 B1 G5、确定受热方向
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根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:% c) _3 [/ w: l% |* J. y; d

+ U& h1 Z; A( i( V7 _(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金% P0 w! |* r  f9 \" F" @
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流入。
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1 N5 t2 P! H. O9 O6 U(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。& {- R! e# I* `/ C! K% k
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(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做
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  n. L+ k5 |+ B) {冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。
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$ _1 e7 d: O' y  Q: n! t5 h4 @(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上
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. O! M1 A- Y+ F& }7 h/ c2 a盘出。 8 \# y) w% b( `- ^% U( ]

2 C: q! Z% T( P% ]/ F(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。
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(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。) A  T! b, V& X( t" g# G

, j, h, ?# y8 |+ l  e* Z盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。
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3 X% h) {+ C7 e! c/ S/ ]盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。' Y! {( q- ^( i6 v/ q7 t

9 Y1 `  t; v' A3 F) j(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。
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8 k3 p1 {  t: ?% T) [1 @+ z$ X7 H6、最后检验阶段% F7 h! L, z: k! S

- c2 U. N" ?2 F" _! ~$ P以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:
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& @# s5 z7 _* t2 R4 L, M( D( Q# O(1)检查高峰期水位。
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(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。, d: t% q3 l: N( h( Q- i

6 q8 x- C1 _# N+ q9 Y(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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