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[lastpost] => 2795945 如何才能走出新手村啊 1768045254 天策-瑶娥
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 1 a0 p; _# P! _- f' j! j3 z
8 m7 R6 u/ r& x6 V. M4 B其实原文标题不是这样的, I. K }/ l z$ |
' E0 [+ F- p8 \- N L) M这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!# G' O6 ^7 `6 K/ S
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+ c/ Z$ k3 |2 z$ W" }3 R5 |
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
- @, N; ?. G* P( k他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
' }' c* f& {4 \0 w
5 f, J. U+ T0 I2 [ 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
. d. }* `1 G6 U5 F, N' Y) o1 O7 u8 ]1 ?0 y0 t( ^5 ]) f
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
; `$ @. X6 j* F9 {) \ 4 H: f$ ~+ D& d0 l/ A0 ], X
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 & n! C/ V3 G9 u6 B4 J8 d- A" j& l
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
( ~. Y. F8 ?3 o& V0 O$ X. M E4 ~: o" L8 P" o: H# m; |% R
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
1 h; a5 `8 c, X2 w5 q
3 V$ y2 x* X0 I+ |" O- `3 c接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
4 j# I) n' a) i9 Y9 B+ R因此铜板较容易出现正面。, C! c7 A! @/ ]$ e, f
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
2 z& g5 A2 j% a* B0 q# Y$ A% \7 S因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。' x1 ~& S2 t2 }
心想赢定了。) t/ D# I! P* g; T$ z9 ?2 j
5 r3 s8 W+ k& i* |2 x* N! Y+ ^没想到开始不到半刻钟，
, k, H2 ^* O Z. k+ o( h0 ~" [赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
' t% g8 s; ^; x2 c. o/ j) y
: a2 A2 ~# d( L) b! W ~$ B赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
) C$ D$ b7 j" B4 y! q但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
+ k- a) v0 g$ y* V. U" R 8 E* ^" H7 d8 y$ Y' I- m3 f
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?1 x' D* @+ \- V1 D7 |/ J' o; ~
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
9 `/ Q4 I D6 C$ X6 r# B5 p. g* |
上帝回答道：8 H( S8 n) L5 c% g) U" \! B; \) U
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
0 ] G7 k- w2 A) `「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
$ S3 a! o# b; l% t「而不是先发生在我身上。」
: l9 c, W8 i ~' t$ \ @6 F- b7 L" N# q
赌徒恍然大悟，
. T- C3 o Q' Z1 f7 T* E8 y原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，% L3 X0 Q Q5 ?' |
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
# B0 U7 x0 d! S9 F$ I" r「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
A N. O# L4 e4 f' Q4 z; e& H上帝说完便不见踪影。 4 P7 F, w# g) Q/ O( A
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
) b4 g3 ~5 d. J/ F8 w1 z( d# G若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
. k6 W, h- \) {$ \: k2 f1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
0 h8 U& T9 B4 v1 R2 y对赌徒十分有利。0 B. ? g6 p" ~
]# w) z: i5 i8 O但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，4 |+ \2 e) `2 N
在还没掷到1000次之前，
6 X/ [1 O+ L$ j; s仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。2 f1 t0 O% S* h, {( ~
6 u( g1 [/ r) N 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。+ `8 i5 d5 e% `( v; g- l; B
1 I. g9 n+ {( \2 h
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
( q$ A' F$ X9 T/ y" x7 I9 y
3 {0 v) ]; }3 L 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板， J; T' W0 P8 A9 t
, o- ?* O* w" B; g3 X7 v7 k; M
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
4 g, f0 T+ b3 }# l T0 Y9 Q. o( \( m# v
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