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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 5 R8 g! a7 q& B5 t3 u7 {
2 }6 _3 p" S& G# E. K( @, c其实原文标题不是这样的 m" c, A8 w X- e; r
; r ^$ [0 T( o l; d* R' n5 X0 w这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝.... Q9 `( e8 K) n
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。& `8 H1 K7 {/ J3 D
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 - e: { p8 M* \9 H
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
2 r5 V: u+ l6 B) r
& Q/ q6 k2 w5 a2 o+ x, P 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。: d; o! A+ [+ e; z; D0 p' c
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，8 G$ a3 Y9 o/ d, ^
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
2 v6 m* K& x6 @, i' j长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 # j; r3 p: r% e
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。& B. i. l* r# R1 w, @* p: o) L) N
心想赢定了。, D6 m5 R# P' z; x
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，( @; G9 j, W2 N& ~; H: D2 o% T6 M, d2 d
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」/ Z2 N! o; h1 A1 H7 |
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
- F; O+ y+ e( S a# {0 \" @但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。" V4 g2 X, b7 F! l
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
$ X- M- p8 F2 V7 Y+ N他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道： J7 I% p8 _1 C, B3 }( `
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
( p+ P z. B4 A/ M( f& {% L「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」1 W* X" ]; r" [ `$ Y3 P
「而不是先发生在我身上。」: s2 z; r! R) z1 ^- |+ j
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赌徒恍然大悟，9 R& k& r3 R/ ?6 c% D* I% j
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
# C0 I, ?8 B v8 t: h9 m竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
1 ?! Z( w! G/ l) X! q! p「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」8 M6 {- L) N: a
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
6 c R! P! a& U若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
' l1 N" L1 E; I! e5 o3 J! q% X9 ^1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，: d- Z6 l/ }- e2 `
对赌徒十分有利。; M' Y" Y z9 Z, e+ ^7 B0 h" \
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，. u( |; L' C; I" K
在还没掷到1000次之前，
6 m% X9 H V8 V+ A. |. z仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。: G2 g L3 `2 U3 m( t* _
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。% U& ]6 G7 l4 k- J- `6 S2 |# l& c
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。! [3 d1 K' P s* v* }
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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