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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 6 c" R8 x9 t9 v X
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5. 废话的不对称原则
3 s A/ u) I0 Z% n' R, ^# n0 S反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。& p* e. f2 ? s
$ W' z+ _( i& Z: g. ~- Z( X
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
3 ^0 S2 g! y! _- ?
! Z. u$ y: b/ L- |写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。- ]0 h U+ K8 t$ f" z" A
' M: @9 n* `: Y7 m1 d. s
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
7 J! q4 u! }: D D% v' T
* @2 Q: @9 z5 D1 Y2 r/ B而对抗它们需要太多的精力。( A% j. ]7 |& \4 B h$ A4 Y0 H
3 |/ I0 d U/ |( j
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
7 V0 \, `. q- y5 f2 F: j1 N$ R被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。. k( t. Y* Q7 q+ H
|3 U4 K# q& g/ H, y/ f6 [0 A9 W f, E不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
; B* S; t2 K/ `$ f* ?. O$ q! h& |) h8 S3 v' y
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
1 Y2 x, q' H% W$ B. L/ g& B" V' ^' l/ s& G7 b7 t4 e
想象一下罕见事件:
' r7 z( f3 Z% D/ J0 X
5 s' _( ^/ V2 O. @$ y* k• 中本聪的钱包苏醒! }9 j8 X1 d: U+ j) V8 d* Q
, }+ {* a8 a$ l/ z3 ~6 R• 核打击9 N4 k6 G |: E& j( c8 W
( }- A$ K T* {! P9 A* y5 n我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!" v* [$ W' m, v" p# ^
2 B/ w0 G) r- s7.二八定律
+ a+ f. M* J- z$ L. G2 U在币圈:
. D6 ?: s3 m( h8 s% e! b' T" b$ l2 f. k/ o0 M; T) N
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。3 g" o2 b2 m4 ]1 D# x
" u* j; r% f' D9 I3 ?! V6 d80%的利润被20%的人拿走。, F; f; W+ `. l) F( W. e6 ^, B
5 K8 T6 x$ R8 W; _. G" s+ Z3 s我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
! |8 l; `/ h7 ]3 a" G P r. X3 R8 f7 T
8.网络效应
* O4 {" S+ s ~产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。) A% _6 ?; R3 A) q# y M. C/ o
1 h* m j, Z% f7 Y A) K: J; k
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?/ N$ F; p( A* `/ g5 i
) |; U' p' u. p) ]一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
) S7 V/ p" R3 D* Y) |+ v
% O! g# n' a- T! @投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
2 a) R0 ]: W- m |
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