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[虚拟币交流]
赵长鹏看好2025年重返牛市：币安正备战迎接交易旺季（转载）
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加密货币交易所币安(Binance)执行长赵长鹏(CZ)周三表示，他仍然相当看好加密货币市场前景，并预期「四年一遇」的牛市行情可望在2025年到来，而为了迎接旺季满载的加密货币交易量，币安现在正加紧部署事前准备工作。3 q" Q) }; A; ~. d, f& e
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赵长鹏在7月5日的Twitter Space问答中，谈到了贝莱德(BlackRock)进军加密货币市场的情况、各国对币安展开监管行动的最新动向，以及分享了他个人对于下一轮牛市的看法。
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赵长鹏解释称，依照过往历史经验来看，加密货币市场平均「每四年一周期」，这是难以被打破的市场定律，原因在于，比特币每四年就会经历一次挖矿奖励减半，而减半后的隔年通常也都是「牛市之年」。8 _; f7 K3 d- c$ u/ @7 b) {
+ [2 D% p; `, p8 K( }* i: O2025年重返牛市
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8 p- N( N8 _/ Z赵长鹏又指，虽然没有人能够精准预测行情走向，但减半事件已普遍被视为牛市周期的看涨讯号，而随着比特币将在明年4月前后迎来减半，这也就意味着我们正逐渐脱离「加密寒冬」，慢慢朝着2025年的下一波多头市场靠近。4 f3 J" c: S$ B
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他预计，接下来的6到18个月都会是「加密货币交易旺季」，也因此，币安正努力优化平台系统功能，提前做好准备功夫，以迎接排山倒海而来的交易量。
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8 d3 G, b. J! p- Z3 r% P. Q赵长鹏透露，相较于去年11月FTX宣告倒闭的惨淡时期，最近几周的加密货币交易量已有所回升，主要归因于多家金融业者相继提交比特币现货ETF上市申请，以及围绕比特币明年减半事件的乐观看涨情绪。" ~' f$ f! O3 }1 ?5 k
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乐观看待加密货币市场前景
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7 q7 _& o" S2 M: E展望未来，赵长鹏仍相当看好加密货币市场前景。他说：「我们还处于早期发展阶段。我认为，这个产业还有很大的增长空间。作为一名建设者，无论是对何时何物，我都会抱持着乐观积极的看法。」
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赵长鹏续称，即使熊市漫漫，他也依然坚信，币安能够凭借其顽强的生命力和持久力，在诺大的加密货币中经久不衰、屹立不倒。
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美国监管机关早前对币安发动规模浩大的法律诉讼战，商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)和证券交易委员会(SEC)相继起诉币安、Binance.US和赵长鹏涉嫌违反联邦法律。针对正在进行的诉讼，赵长鹏表示，币安希望寻求「最便捷、最合理、双方都同意的解决方案」。: [4 l4 H- u8 e( d7 S6 y; a
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