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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。' O" f2 b' x: D% d+ \! ~0 u
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
9 p4 j& `' [8 V9 T5 G J! p, T3 v什么是ISDA？8 N$ O8 a4 q! J: x k2 `
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
6 ]7 Q* F! G0 r/ v/ P营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
: f: I6 |0 u; l1 C8 D(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易; c) T; { _8 n6 k8 U* `% |( x
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市* c. e3 z$ {' ?
场的正常发展。6 n s, x9 M, E/ F
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
1 s7 S5 g' P; j9 ^进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
* M% J0 v. z ~- Z1 c4 ]9 XDigital Asset。
; v/ W, {9 K0 r. B加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
0 i/ [( a* f+ `9 |/ r; fDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影7 [. W* f0 e$ W! Y/ e/ ^5 f
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
( _/ _3 v; D* m1 n根据其推论：1 x% n/ Q" g, G2 I6 ?6 |+ U
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
5 f. f0 W, Y9 r7 o6 q若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元# p$ {& N; b9 {1 |( o a1 y
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元3 _# K7 G7 K& ?0 b
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
7 ?# z+ x7 H3 w7 Y而XRP目前币价为0.661742
. Z8 J9 M% a2 P- w; ^8 x0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元+ E6 Z/ x: \. c. S+ S. E1 m& p' l
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
4 V0 }: T9 }# v6 q( N; a8 \1 t/ _( A不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎2 S/ F; C* p2 G, P4 o; T
也未有极大的波动。4 e+ M( s5 d- |' F+ v& r
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
" ~# \$ ~; _; d. M性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这: F0 a! Q/ E1 L$ O: H, o
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢* k0 N4 d) p" e) r8 c: w
引导传统金融的采用呢？
: y, P: e, @$ Z& f1 [
' j9 y0 ^) \: o" b3 b/ x6 ^ |
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