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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。, ^/ p, f; N, m& f. M/ S
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？2 a* c5 e* g) z1 X& \- o
什么是ISDA？
" m0 O* M8 }2 ^; g/ e: `1 c# K1 X( \国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非( |0 N" @* i& I
营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约$ F m X6 R, {6 k7 R, {
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易- S. K$ x5 f) w+ E( q
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
1 f5 e2 }! o- `场的正常发展。
: U) Q( y$ n! ~' t换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。5 j4 m( m: Z: D
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和5 \4 @+ R9 q7 M! I! [* K: B
Digital Asset。
' w; ~4 Y x) z C/ D; g5 J加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？! R4 u( W) b7 S9 H
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
# J! V2 w' g+ {. D. j& m) E; f响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
1 \+ @2 g& y' f! R% b根据其推论：- D) |$ z- S+ V. B: @
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元" u# D/ X" h* F. Y* R' h+ U$ V
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元* R: e" Z: X8 R$ l/ ^3 s+ m8 G
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元% t- D( T& m& Z% m& O- e* b6 A. I
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元9 k7 d/ k7 W" J/ I7 p* C
而XRP目前币价为0.661742: d) \# `3 b4 v% p f* D6 g
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
; |# |( h7 ?# Y9 i! ?( ?; F" ~挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
' V4 h' k, Y6 z& ^ _6 E不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎+ N7 Y( f6 \, a6 Y- F3 g+ u
也未有极大的波动。" k* Y" W) P# `+ ^5 O
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生2 e1 v$ d- T* _3 C1 x
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
8 h" [5 S. q5 b( Z/ o5 K& y/ |6 p个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢- b8 [$ f2 r2 q3 Y, _% A
引导传统金融的采用呢？5 ?: U$ K, b8 I$ j: U3 r. L3 s3 u
3 E# l+ C! @" }
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