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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
' c& m% s2 w2 ^# K+ ~( S$ p+ e" j至少有以下几个原因：) N) A+ S. f' j$ r3 m
: L* M- w; `) o1 j) k1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
: k8 K! z# y; x% F
- v4 L$ z, R7 d在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
% B" X! f! }& f; O d" X. p* {- Y
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
) e' h. t$ W9 d9 g3 _- C% S4 c P8 E6 T | m! m
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
/ I- c) Q' J; B
+ [, U7 X& _* { @9 E6 T% b3 W325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数" i( G8 r2 z8 b4 D" _6 m- i
7 X$ U, [% D Y! Z* m
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有6 r+ Y! I/ H( c7 e4 u: B
& |; L7 }, K& R P
达到200亿美金）7 q& j7 f* |' j1 J
8 W! @) c0 F- z1 E7 Z) u7 N
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊) x7 Q, u- {8 t: p/ k" h% ^; J, J3 D
6 G8 t! _/ y8 S. r
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
8 l/ N0 g( M- i4 m# z- |9 _) x, k& s2 T7 M; z% j4 K
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
/ Y$ i1 |9 g _/ k( u' \
- T( ]6 ~7 H5 d( ?/ O8 {3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
0 {3 m6 V+ W8 N4 k& `2 `1 |2 R5 c, v
资金的信任和青睐。; Q" T7 g% S# |6 p) Z; n
/ L6 N+ N# l# O; H, G& S( S4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美2 x9 S8 _1 \- M3 n
$ d0 p& Q+ @8 N4 } p
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入9 Q* `% y- J6 g, H& U+ L
' R( b' `2 |/ S% S& ~
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。8 l% k1 `8 |7 W; x v
( f( W9 L% \8 k3 }5 F0 w
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