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[lastpost] => 2811783 比特币周三快速上涨 加密货币反弹是因为特朗普又表态？（转） 1772710812 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
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答案几乎是肯定的：
( \ }* \- ?' l1 N [9 F" H至少有以下几个原因：
7 I1 _+ a9 N+ Q: Z
$ l- Q; L! y& Q/ A, n) ?1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
! I: v( q' o# `% e5 X) Z" D
& F9 j2 d# \0 F在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
3 d+ U- I$ s" X, g2 d& k- J, A( G. K7 l1 u
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案" P% T' p" W5 @0 b9 ]" _3 o, R
* c8 u$ e9 T0 ^ ^. N; @出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到% U* f( K0 P8 j3 Q
8 h# W8 W }; d/ t325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数% W. f2 x9 t1 v: H: E
4 g; W& A: I9 }: m# S据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有3 P2 D; R4 N7 X" h4 Z# F; n
9 B% _( P/ m+ O* B
达到200亿美金）
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2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊3 g8 j+ t( M: m) e0 L9 C/ s; y' a
* s- v, F& R% V1 w C" h x/ w) k
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
" Q# j; J9 T/ Y9 q) C3 e" h. Z4 V. s7 l8 V ]
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。. G6 n; O6 F, V4 O% L! @
6 p: I! P9 s9 J# V; E
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大5 }6 y3 r% q v& I1 y' M
' J' ~ ^# M; [. s- J$ K/ J2 c资金的信任和青睐。" U. T+ @" g B6 K* v
; H% Q& n: J1 {. D1 Z: ?' X4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
; Y' ~2 i) ~ P2 O4 T5 \
! \: {& N4 ~7 b5 D' Z0 T* Q金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
; z3 r3 T5 D5 F; r/ T: l1 L
* N: i6 G' y- s6 L" W6 U. p比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。1 ]: u) D- q" s# n+ ]
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