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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：& S& z4 \* U% d$ m) _' R- N, {/ h
至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。7 K2 v8 e4 Z5 `
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在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
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机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
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4 h4 k1 P& P$ ?# R出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到, e9 p( H6 r `' ?# y( w. [
$ t w$ F) `/ j; ]
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数0 K) J, c9 b9 d" v/ z
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据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
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8 u+ b, }/ D! P1 t3 t3 _达到200亿美金）
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; P9 f) M) X8 J( S; H* x2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊; Q, n+ |+ q c) j$ l
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更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
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+ {7 m& \' E3 w7 l的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大5 A5 r$ Z0 ~& L5 i. _- f# G0 s
( Z) |+ n8 V* ?4 y# v( [, _资金的信任和青睐。6 g) b/ l# y4 B* r6 |% \
, A' p, c% T+ }. k8 E4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
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* Q7 @4 m+ [1 V8 \+ K9 p7 _( e金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入$ o- G/ Z8 ?& r: O
# l" @2 z2 X: y- d: [5 d比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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