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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题
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因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..
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" V# ~" m5 v! z& |% h' y( _假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N: @/ R$ [/ t+ @8 l+ D
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那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
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* V1 K% ]. h* G& H4 _2 L豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%
+ e. j: R! {5 H7 U5 w! R4 T5 ^* C: b- e+ t6 b1 O6 g1 J
连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)
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在是压大小问题./ F8 x8 f2 h) A6 }
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根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..) J- {" A' b3 g; P* m
) I h7 z# R$ p4 h由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的
2 ~& G! b; O2 x* r% B% _0 t, T/ u& h3 ?. [& E/ m6 N
心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。
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也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。5 E. J% e# v; y }1 t+ L, |2 A* @
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并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了0 r: `# e8 l5 d
+ F& Q. X& Z7 m5 R5 C* A% I @4 ]
由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。6 U( I# h6 e$ |
# d, X; T9 e4 e根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!9 o/ H' j3 I! F& M! K
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还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百. i/ W, N( r3 |2 r& V
1 \+ }2 `0 Z' l" ^( `: ~今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
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4 m0 d' `/ s0 D/ k偶决定在也不赌了~真的...% [$ w7 P+ E& Y% K* H; [
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 45 分钟
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当前离线
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总在线: 45 分钟
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必输的东西也是要来学学了啊,如此的东西还是值得学习的 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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必输什么的是不讲道理的,就好比必赢的菠菜那样,干脆看开点 |
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当前离线
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这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧 |
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