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[lastpost] => 2759683 以太坊价格预测：市值达5690亿美元 ETH创下历史新高是否只是开始？-转 1756374826 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF流量及其最新脱钩——是时候小心了吗？（转）
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比特币现货ETF似乎正在失去其在整个市场的影响力) V' ?& D! _; v) |, m4 j0 ^6 R. A
比特币可能在本周下半年出现短期下跌/ f+ x& H `. G
周三，比特币在注意到自1月8日以来持续的资金外流后，首次录得正的现货ETF流量。然而，最新的ETF流量也揭示了一些关于其影响的其他有趣发现。
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+ `* A& h9 y+ c0 S比特币的价格走势在很大程度上，这与现货ETF的流动是同步的。然而，最近情况并非如此。例如，BTC从本周早些时候的最低点上涨了12.81%，周三触及当地高点100175美元。与此同时，比特币现货ETF在周三之前的一周内只出现了负流量。
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4 l8 w% L# B: T1 Q9 @/ e, W& {简而言之，尽管现货ETF资金外流，比特币本周仍成功实现了反弹。这突显了一种脱钩，这种脱钩也可能在本周剩余时间内持续。
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' O' a: U4 b+ I1 d) y) B+ u6 O然而，1月15日，比特币现货ETF流量记录了价值7.551亿美元的流入。这是本月迄今为止记录的第三高日流量。+ Q& i3 X/ O- H
) v b; M1 s3 j- d% G值得指出的是，尽管有这些发现，但在过去的24小时里，BTC确实略有下跌，图表上的跌幅略高于1.5%。
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. @ K5 F- J3 v& u* `比特币在活动疲软的情况下保持对短期楔形模式的关注
( c+ \% Y' v+ D& q2 J在撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为99236美元。此外，图表上出现更多下行似乎是一种真正的可能性。- } L: i2 {2 ?& D4 {1 v
8 M6 Y; @5 m. V8 M3 R y潜在下行的原因是比特币的最新价格上涨重新测试了下行阻力线。它还显示出过去24小时的一些抛售压力，这表明阻力位仍然强劲。+ p/ U& m( U/ L- Y% @
- O1 W3 o) L( v此外，链上数据显示，BTC在现货市场一直出现资金外流。事实上，仅在过去24小时内，加密货币就有1.5601亿美元的现货流出。
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现货资金外流的激增表明，投资者仍专注于短期获利回吐。这可能会提供对当前需求状况的见解——这表明短期情绪并不乐观。
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鲸鱼活动也与短期情绪一致。例如，最新的大持有者流量数据显示，周三有1420个BTC流入，而同期有494个BTC流出。鲸鱼的需求更高，因此影响了看涨表现。
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; q2 p6 ~; E% g. V虽然鲸鱼的需求明显高于外流，但也值得注意的是，整体需求疲软。尤其是与12月的需求激增相比。
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2 U$ `0 @& y# i5 W; {- Q6 I$ k鲸鱼的低参与率充分说明了市场的信心水平。这可能表明比特币仍然局限于短期走势，在这种情况下，价格可能会从阻力位回落。然而，投资者应该注意可能影响市场的重大发展。3 s9 w. a" N& I! y9 Q7 I, }
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