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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。0 q7 B! k# T) R) q [) b: q" Z
+ t' N% G6 b# t: s由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。( q% |+ s1 `) Y# R
" G1 [* \2 S; j( _) _& |比特币重新分配正在进行) |$ w; i4 S# X4 \2 G- G0 g
! V2 m% y. E9 c8 i目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。/ c& w. X- q( Q
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。+ j8 w$ G4 d* G1 F& }7 D. Y5 W8 y
5 x( U- m$ S9 Q- F# T9 O然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。8 G6 S6 x' d. _1 q
5 q/ K y* G" u+ j. t$ ?; i通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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+ r% V# v% v; o; v, j仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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' N+ L* ?: h( j1 y7 r当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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( n" R+ z' Y4 o8 c7 b比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
0 n' d" _% B, R7 d! C+ z3 A# j6 i+ dCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。3 v/ \' M* C/ _8 w
$ [/ S5 e( ^' ?2 a8 s; [, H4 H$ o本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。8 w ~: O0 c3 O x# Q
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。 ~0 I5 T, r- B: D* y5 i& o- e
7 Q, t# x% O0 i/ B现货交易商调整
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。- _8 r i9 a: b
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。. y1 Q( A8 @, s! T1 ~& U: Y3 q* ~
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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