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[lastpost] => 2797544 莱特币交易价格较 2025 年峰值下跌 46%（转） 1769014455 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，# e: V' p9 q% N. s6 T( k6 V3 D h
但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！. B- ]: f2 ^) L4 r4 r/ P& Z
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在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以. b, F' d J7 c4 U: k" g
; G! {- f3 ~! I0 G( f' A: u短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。$ |) @/ h: {0 E1 Q
/ J8 C0 I5 S2 h7 N! }+ O一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。
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: b9 C( V! I5 {' Y4 k4 H我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，# n* V f* q0 y. Z
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一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。$ i" O7 }3 b+ d! A: o4 c3 V9 C
/ ~) ~ R+ P9 d) O) {; D8 ]山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最9 o) K4 r( H/ T/ i
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高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币# s. r% \8 r7 u6 p) E9 p
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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! n2 a1 q1 Q+ \" ]+ T! d! [; s离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。
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" f" G/ w( L- o! G$ |总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下0 }. t% r, i: k5 d2 B6 ]- y2 W2 o
" }' y9 E- k0 [; N/ x+ p& |半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。/ y$ ^) K; k9 v8 p1 B p' ?
( I6 C2 w8 @" U+ E# K2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。' C$ w' M" o0 S! d
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3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态
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4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。
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7 b6 A2 w# K" X7 f! ]4 y* r, `5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE& `; F9 k+ x( T" F( T) {5 \
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