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[lastpost] => 2797544 莱特币交易价格较 2025 年峰值下跌 46%（转） 1769014455 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。. M* O1 J5 ^; S- P
5 F& N# }- ~6 r7 F5 X. R 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。0 y$ j0 y! A! P0 n( F! i& F& ?
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。# \; @' E3 c) u* ?# y) ]' C; L
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。" {& V2 D+ v F
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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5 m# B8 }0 H" ~' L3 Y; V7 E 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。: F8 T9 V v$ C! j" v; N
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在2 j8 `; C$ ]$ ?) Q
0 |! m1 `: Y6 f( e# W8 h积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”; T# D3 ?3 G% `/ Z
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4 J: p5 b9 q* q+ k 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。 X" }0 T( v# m7 W7 W/ R( O
- w1 h K* {, P 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。* a& o' a( S; n4 ^
2 [7 ~1 Y: N" n$ v+ m# w& n; q7 p 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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2 d7 h0 v7 F) n. |: h 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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! D$ F: M3 v( C) y; l( q8 y 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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) B; B2 X: Q. `: e' } 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，+ I$ Z' o. ]) f: J2 Z
: B3 O9 k4 g8 B. z' q" j1 U. }市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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