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[lastpost] => 2813579 美国2月未季调CPI年率将于今晚20:30公布，预期2.4%，前值2.4%（转） 1773191881 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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# W. Q( w; ~1 h( ? 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。7 A9 z% v# s/ d
% y2 W) ?. b) n: m2 r 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。9 a# P& t2 T) Q `5 c2 k
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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' k7 x2 P* K1 S. ?5 V5 s9 X Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。+ N7 o1 h- o/ @9 q7 f: @& U$ n
* ~2 H, E; [+ e. D 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。$ Q8 Q4 g; h8 B$ w! |
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。. U3 @, J, m5 o7 f0 W8 b6 { H( q5 |
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。# }" G" l+ |7 d5 u X9 \
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间4 P+ F) l3 i! }2 _$ C! O' [
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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1 ^( s+ Q- A4 K, m! B; w6 B/ q4 B “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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/ a: [$ U9 T# F% l6 N# D$ l! C积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”. N+ x' c, ]& {) |. u% \+ C
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8 W7 g) @! Z0 M 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。- h% ^5 V8 {; v& F5 ?. y- e6 q
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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" m# Q0 U9 \4 `5 H' p( ] 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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: i( p+ ?( ]: a2 y+ r, y7 h" C 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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. e- j/ E/ c3 W 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，; F! b+ G5 G8 x& L8 r" W+ o- C0 A
2 Z- m- |8 N+ Y) u( P: B7 `- i市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”+ R# _0 w, V% L [! z1 F3 |& w/ o! C) @
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