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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。
2 O3 A, k" ?" B. w$ z- E* k+ M现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。5 P+ l. T# A$ u0 k+ F K% i
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。 R5 B. D7 Z4 Z) N4 g
7 k, p$ s9 ?+ x
尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。2 P; l' C1 u& E, j9 m- T; w
7 W; W* s# i9 s6 `; A' c8 W长期持有者没有抛售迹象- M2 g. L3 O( q1 q v/ h2 [
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
" S* R4 L5 d+ M
& `: g- p8 O! s+ \% q值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
; H3 L% [8 ^# f0 K
9 V6 C- u9 m( _6 ?" C6 H2 s+ D截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
4 X8 F6 M4 C. R+ ~" Y
8 S: K2 A* ~3 K) G/ A- P8 q这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。! _! e( m- p9 x3 F! m% ?
( Q: j/ m8 ]( Y: j. n从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。( T; t' B i A( i% ]3 B+ g9 H
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AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。+ S5 {8 W' g5 c% I ~; S3 R
6 u0 a6 e7 X3 j( Q现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降" `* N8 s8 J0 P) Y2 n
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
( }6 J( E9 p2 w2 r& ]# P4 y$ d3 Q
2 \/ h0 y: Y8 T8 ^# e. k+ m过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。- o+ F5 j: u5 O, r
' l9 r5 }; \7 v1 p( V与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
8 O5 x; ?* K% x9 M3 d I& n1 E3 o: l1 N }
此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
% X+ p( m( |0 e- k) {5 p
/ m1 p2 [& b5 ]+ _ _ k8 W5 q1 ~问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
0 [4 i; l" n& V ?
6 z. C, S. U& A* D! ^% u加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？4 k( v- M* o2 I
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。8 ^2 }7 b; l; W
O$ {; ^2 L: T Q7 v) @当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。. m0 W! k N* x# R
8 q# z5 b3 J: A s9 e该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。5 Q T2 I6 ^ z5 {: {
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当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。! k B0 C- A# Z! l
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