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[虚拟币交流]
比特币2021年的走势图显示了本轮牛市的最终价格目标 (转）
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虽然比特币价格似乎已经完全偏离了之前牛市和熊市的四年周期，但仍有一些相似之处剩下的迹象表明，事情仍可能以类似的方式发生。两者最大的相似之处是，2021 年出现了一个看跌的螃蟹形态，而现在，同样的形态再次出现。因此，观察 2021 年形态的走向，或许能给出一些洞察比特币价格的下一步走向从这里。, v& f, F( {0 V2 @4 V
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引发比特币价格暴涨的模式+ {& l' x5 V- @; E, J
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在一项分析中，加密货币分析师 Weslad 是指出看跌螃蟹形态已经回归，并且也出现在日线图上。有趣的是，当前的形态与2021年的形态惊人地相似，这表明最终的趋势可能会延续相同的走势。
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) w, F) s3 i9 K9 l& r$ ^' b2021年，当看跌螃蟹形态出现时，比特币价格出现了暴涨，冲上了69,000美元的历史高点。这种“爆发式”上涨通常是牛市中的最后一次反弹，它的结束往往预示着下一轮熊市的开始。" T5 ~) a5 _% B; Y/ n) s% R
, k' L5 Z7 k% q) P$ }4 \( U不过，在这种形态下，需要注意一些目标，它们可能预示着价格的下一步走势。首先，比特币价格需要完成单日收盘，突破124,545美元的水平，这被称为激活触发点。/ C5 E) M! N. F3 R" Y2 @1 u
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来源：TradingView& d* B. x# a: d( ]& Y
n2 I, c1 J; b+ ~- T" f. Y接下来是韦斯拉德所说的“逢低买入”。这将是进入比特币的理想价格范围如果出现回调，则价格位于 118,000 美元至 120,000 美元之间。跌至这些水平无需担心，因为这意味着多头仍然占据主导地位。
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5 A; W0 z+ k y+ _5 V如果上述两个区域都成立，比特币价格将延续看涨势头。如果最终的爆发式上涨真的像2017-2021年那样，那么“螃蟹形态”表明，比特币价格至少会达到136,000美元，远期目标为147,000美元，而有可能进一步达到 160,000 美元.% Z" T- Q) U: W3 c# \
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然而，最终目标是看跌的，可能导致比特币价格再次暴跌，目前价格位于 10.7 万美元。据这位加密货币分析师称，跌破该水平将使整个看涨论点失效，并称之为“底线”。Weslad 解释说：“10.7 万美元的失效水平至关重要。跌破该水平意味着市场格局被打破，我们必须重新评估。”3 a( y! o$ Y0 L h$ `* m; [
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