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[虚拟币交流]
“分销是关键”：BNB 129% 的涨幅与 Solana 2024 年的飙升如出一辙（转）
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BNB 链的原生代币 BNB 在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 2.5%，继续从历史新高本周早些时候突破了 1,300 美元。: S9 P6 b# ]2 |$ x8 @4 e
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BNB 在过去一年中上涨了 129%，超过了比特币和以太币，因为 BNB 链生态系统的新势头引发了新一轮的资本轮换浪潮。* H1 f+ }& y6 q' C$ ~; H; ~$ M
& `( G# U( X# `/ l' R( w根据 CoinDesk Research 的技术分析模型，交易波动性仍然很高，代币价格在 10 月 9 日至 10 日期间在 62 美元的范围内波动，最终收于 1,250 美元。
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SKALE Labs 首席执行官杰克·奥霍勒兰 (Jack O'Holleran) 告诉 CoinDesk，最近的 [激增] 似乎是由币安的规模和用户覆盖面而非炒作推动的。
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9 P& n: f' \4 G' ^“我们正处于一个更注重覆盖面而非技术的周期阶段，”他说道。“分销是目前推动增长的关键因素。这种覆盖面优势正直接转化为应用，上季度流入资金达148亿美元，BNB链上的活动也激增。”; y8 D+ z- s% g9 \/ B$ `; j
1 T" E# K+ o! q; o) K x IWintermute 策略师 Jasper De Maere 在给 CoinDesk 的一份声明中将当前的反弹与 Solana 的 2024 年末周期进行了比较，其中第 1 层基础代币的价格上涨引发了整个生态系统的流动性浪潮。/ N* _7 o: u) N5 [
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他写道：“在降低 gas 费、风险加权资产激励和流动性计划的推动下，BNB 的上涨引发了一波链上活动，资本转向收益和 meme 领域，其中 CAKE、HENA、HONEY 和 MANTA 是主要受益者。”. r1 g0 b, G! Q, ]1 N
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这种模式遵循了 De Maere 所说的“L1 财富效应”，即代币价格上涨推动美元收益，并将其重新投资于周边协议。
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他补充道：“只要 BNB 价格保持在高位附近，且过桥资金不外流，循环就会持续下去，流动性只会在各个环节（模因 → DeFi → 收益）之间循环，而不会退出整个链条。只有当资金外流加速或信心崩溃时，循环才会真正结束。”1 o! F- Y, K% W
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然而，如果稳定币余额下降，或者资金开始流出BNB链，则可能出现衰竭的迹象。目前，该生态系统似乎正在内部进行财富循环，这与Solana早期的发展轨迹相呼应。
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f$ p$ W' n; h) E; z- h德梅尔总结道：“财富效应不会因为交易量放缓而消失；而是当资金流出时，财富效应就结束了。”
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