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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位7 a; z. B) J) ]  ~+ M1 O3 S

7 ~2 Z& S0 f9 L7 x(1)对下游球队的战绩。. ~, Y# j' W) d* r! q# [

; r; v2 T" Q' |- R(2)对中游球队的战绩。
8 |5 M8 [; c) C. l" ?  p. p, @
0 ^% C- Z% z. v# k$ ^& F(3)对上游球队的战绩。
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. d; ?3 T7 ]% }: y2 _8 q(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录/ Q; ^4 y: M9 ]% m; y

, `% d! ^3 |) e" s& c- Z一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。
% \; ^4 ^( p+ J; I5 V# P2 P) \; a9 Z1 M8 M  e
2、对比主客场胜率4 k% g. [) U! M1 `* }2 Q6 w

( i& D/ {$ m# h+ F& }% P5 }(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高
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( b- a% l9 U: k9 j(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高
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3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照: p+ ~- M, _& H) p# u! a) u
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(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。
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0 n' m; a  o, f* p& y- ^(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)
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- ^8 z$ r' S% g3 F) C. Q(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大
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- |* Y1 }) h, a' _- w, t% ?* ?4 K, `(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大! C% Y  ?: x  S$ u5 @; B! i
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4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。
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0 r$ @, d. w- Z# V* j1 J(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易
7 n/ p/ n4 i& {' s9 U1 j- q. v5 _$ a. G0 i, P
成为热点。
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$ O+ }  |) {/ u  V(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。3 N2 d1 Y; J& _) y5 K$ Y

; Q: F/ j: V5 ?/ u" Y(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。
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(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。  ?: V3 |( _& w$ t7 v

1 a; ]+ ^$ t/ q- P# i(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。
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; P6 U# `) f. X9 E4 N# P( t" c! w5、确定受热方向# Q1 r* O  q7 F! P1 c+ S) E* F- J5 ?- I: ]

) I/ o( U6 d. P根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:) T5 p. f2 g; J2 N5 G9 P

) Y' K3 [7 Y! g! n+ m(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金; N/ W3 C2 J6 v0 I
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流入。
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  N- h9 b8 Z, [" I; r( i(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。
+ |9 c& H1 ~4 H4 Y1 {' t0 J9 I. }7 z' M- y
(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做
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- e  f2 b' X: l1 v; j' Q冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。3 Y4 n$ r9 q+ \% U4 x
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(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上8 P+ P. G$ K$ m6 G
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盘出。
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8 G5 n6 T* r9 z) x0 G* a4 X9 S" I(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。; {$ L" r, t( B, u' w

$ U" g3 a$ |& W(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。
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7 Q8 F* j$ k8 r: c8 s盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。, J* n5 F$ S  p% l
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盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。  S* c, n/ ]# [$ e5 K( E( X  d
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(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。
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6、最后检验阶段
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以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:2 V4 z7 K5 M1 S$ V

2 M/ C0 x7 }  W% |7 {" y(1)检查高峰期水位。5 G0 R- u2 j& M
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(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。/ [" M3 Q# L3 b( Y, `$ S  f  h
) {- u3 P4 u0 p+ [' z
(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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